"A movement self-confident in its place in American society would not
have made Joe the Plumber a bigger story than he actually was."
Do not miss this -- it's a really good piece by Patrick Ruffini at The Next RIght.
Demographically, Democrats rely on being the party of the upper
sixth and the lower third, while Republicans tend to do better with
everyone in between. When we start losing the middle class and the
suburbs, we lose big like we did in 2008.
Put another way, Republicans thrive as the party of normal Americans
-- the people in the middle culturally and economically. [...] Our base is the common-sense
voter in the middle who bought a house she could afford and didn't
lavishly overspend in good times and who is now subsidizing the person
who didn't.
When you think about it, a majority built around this solid
middle-American base should beat the disjointed liberal rich/poor
coalition. This sense of frugality, orderliness, and personal responsibility is something [everyone] aspires to in difficult times. This is why Obama's pitch is fundamentally off-key if
framed correctly. People's first instincts in a recession are not to
overspend, but to tighten their belts. Obama's address last night
assumed that no one is responsible for anything, except maybe corporate
CEOs. The banks as institutions are not ultimately responsible. People
who took out risky mortgages are not responsible. The Administration is
not responsible for sharing in the pain by postponing longer-term
projects like health care. And even if they are, everything in a
recession is subsumed to the need to throw money at the problem in an
attempt to stabilize the system. The risk for Obama in embracing the
bailout mentality is that it catches up to you: this is not how
ordinary people act in their daily lives without major consequences
down the road. [...]
I love Newt's emphasis on finding 80/20 issues* and defining them in completely non-ideological terms.
We need to advance our ideas without ever once saying the word
"conservative" or "Republican" in a speech. We need to define these
ideas not as conservative, but as American. We need to be confident,
like the left is, that we are the natural governing party because our
ideas are in alignment with basic American principles, and quit
treating middle class, working class, or rural Americans like an
interest group to be mollified by symbolic, substance-free BS.
*As for Newt's document, I read the list of the top ten priorities and was disappointed in it, given how strongly it was hyped. It's basically: Yay English! (the language) Yay fossil fuels! (drill baby drill, clean coal). Yay God! ("Keeping the reference to 'One Nation Under God' in the Pledge of Allegiance is very important.") Newt calls this a "blueprint for real change"? "English should be the official language of government" -- common sense, but the #1 priority? The theme of this document is, rather, "Keep things from changing too far, too fast." That's a needed brake on change that threatens to spin out of control, throwing away priceless values and rendering America unrecognizable; just don't package it as what it's not. It's anti-change. I.e., conserve-atism.
We are facing major changes whether we like it or not: the ascendancy of China and the necessity of finding new, post-fossil-fuel energy technologies, for two. How to face those changes forthrightly from a base of solid values seems the question, not how to wish them away. The right's tendency to nativism and the left's tendency to protectionism both seem based on fear rather than confidence, defense rather than preemption.
We've gotten past a major hurdle: inclusiveness. People of all kinds are now found in all kinds of places (speaking English a mile a minute). Americans are now organized by their ideas more than by their categories, which is hugely freeing from a major waste of energy. Fine. Now we still have to go forward without breaking with our roots. Newt's document seems to me an example of what commenter Simon said on this post: "